A Warning from the Ballot Box: What Baltimore’s Orthodox Community Just Lost And What It Stands to Lose Next



by Shmuel Goppen

 

The numbers from this month’s Maryland primary are a measurable, countable record of a community that showed up too late and in too small a number for a moment that mattered more than almost any in recent memory.

State Senator Dalya Attar, the first Orthodox Jewish woman ever elected to the Maryland Senate, lost her seat in the District 41 Democratic primary to Delegate Malcolm Ruff by roughly 3,700 votes out of just under 18,000 cast. Baltimore County Executive candidate Izzy Patoka, the only Jewish candidate in that race and a longtime advocate for the community, finished second to Julian Jones, trailing by nearly 6,900 votes. Both losses are now permanent, at least for this cycle. Both losses were close enough that a modestly larger Orthodox turnout could plausibly have changed the outcome in District 41, and even in the county race, organized turnout would have mattered far more than it did.

This is not simply a story about two lost elections. It’s a story about what happens when a community that prides itself on civic engagement, chinuch (education), tzedaka, and communal organization treats electoral politics as optional. Lest you think sitting on the sidelines right now is optional, let us look at what has happened so far around the country this election cycle and then we will zero in on our own community.

A Pattern, Not an Accident

What happened in Baltimore did not happen in isolation. It is part of a national pattern that should alarm anyone paying attention, regardless of where they sit politically.

In New York, three candidates backed by the Democratic Socialists of America and Mayor Zohran Mamdani swept their congressional primaries this June. Two of the winners, Claire Valdez and Darializa Avila Chevalier, were described by the Times of Israel as anti-Israel candidates backed by the far-left DSA. I will let their own words speak for how much of a threat they pose to Jews in America and Israel.

When Avila Chevalier, who won the Democratic primary for NY’s 7th Congressional District, was pressed by a progressive endorsement committee, one sympathetic to her broader politics, to simply condemn Hamas and its October 7 massacre, she would not. The Broadway Democrats, a left-leaning Manhattan political club, wrote afterward that when asked to condemn Hamas and its October 7th attacks at their own endorsement meeting, she point-blank refused, turning the question into yet another attack on Israel. This was not an isolated moment of evasion. She has pointedly refused to condemn the terror group or its brutal October 7th attack, claiming that being asked to do so ignores what she calls “75 years of occupation that the Palestinian people have endured.” And in 2020, in a post later deleted, she responded to a prompt asking what people would feel if Israel vanished by writing flatly: “Trick question – Israel doesn’t exist!”

Claire Valdez, who won her primary in NY’s 13th Congressional District, has been similarly unambiguous. As a candidate seeking the DSA’s own endorsement, Valdez committed in writing to refrain from any affiliation with what the organization labeled “Zionist lobbying groups,” including J Street, AIPAC, and Democratic Majority for Israel. In the immediate aftermath of the October 7th massacre, Valdez liked a post celebrating the violence that read, “Glory to the resistance and the people of Palestine.” She went on to appear for nearly an hour on the show of a streamer who has openly described Jewish identity in dehumanizing terms, the same streamer who, in remarks later resurfaced online, called Jewishness “this constructed ethnicity, this demonic ethnicity… wholly invented.” Valdez did not push back on her host’s framing but rather told him she loved being a member of the DSA precisely because it allowed these kinds of conversations.

One week later, the wave moved to Denver. Melat Kiros, a 29-year-old DSA member and first-time candidate, unseated Diana DeGette, a 15-term incumbent who had held her seat since 1997, in Colorado’s First Congressional District. Kiros had described Hamas’s October 7th massacre, in which more than 1,200 people were slaughtered, as the “inevitable consequence of apartheid,” and she stood by that characterization on camera in the final stretch of her campaign. When a local television reporter pressed her on whether the 2025 firebombing of a Boulder vigil, where people had gathered to call for the return of Israeli hostages, was antisemitic, she declined to say so, telling the interviewer she couldn’t know what was in the attacker’s heart or even what the victims themselves believed. One member of the Boulder Jewish community died in the attack. Kiros, who cannot call this terrorist attack antisemitic, will now be in Congress. At her victory party, far-left Turkish streamer Hasan Piker, who has publicly said he would vote for Hamas over Israel “every single time,” was in attendance.

And the movement is not stopping at the coasts or in the mountains. In Michigan, where the Senate primary is scheduled for August 4th, Abdul El-Sayed is the frontrunner in a competitive Democratic primary for an open Senate seat. When CNN’s Manu Raju asked him directly whether the Israeli government was as evil as Hamas, El-Sayed answered: “Yes, killing tens of thousands of people makes you pretty evil.”

When pressed in a separate interview about whether Israel has a right to exist as a Jewish state, he declined to answer, saying he “struggles” with the question. He has barnstormed Michigan’s college campuses alongside Hasan Piker, and after a gunman rammed a car into a Michigan synagogue in March 2026, his response was “hurt people hurt people.” He now has the endorsement of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and leads the primary polling. He may well be the next United States senator from Michigan.

The language of these antisemites who, within the next several months, will be sworn in as members of the United States Congress representing districts in New York City, home to the largest Jewish population in America, Denver, and possibly as a senator of the state of Michigan, will have subpoena power, committee assignments, and a vote on every piece of legislation touching aid to Israel, antisemitism funding, hate crimes enforcement, and education policy nationwide.

These are not fringe outcomes anymore. These antisemitic positions are functioning as a political asset for these campaigns rather than a liability. The DSA’s own organizing arm has been explicit about its ambitions. Specifically, it is not a protest movement content to stay on the sidelines. It is a movement built to capture the Democratic party’s machinery from within, district by district, primary by primary. Baltimore’s 41st District was simply the local front of a fight playing out from Manhattan to Colorado to Michigan.

And let’s be clear about something else: This poison does not respect party lines, even if its current and most visible vector happens to be running through Democratic primaries in New York and Maryland. It shows up wearing different costumes, sometimes draped in the language of democratic socialism, sometimes in the language of “America First” isolationism, sometimes in the language of campus social justice activism. The labels differ. The conclusion these movements keep arriving at is that Jewish self-determination is illegitimate, that Jewish American institutional power is suspect, and that Jewish communities in the United States asking for solidarity or support are, at best, an inconvenience and, at worst, the enemy. A community that only watches its left flank or only watches its right flank, will be blindsided by the flank it wasn’t watching.

Why Baltimore’s Orthodox Community Has No Choice but to Engage as Democrats

Baltimore has a Jewish community of approximately 100,000 Jews, 20,000 to 30,000 of whom are Orthodox. The uncomfortable structural reality that many in the Baltimore Jewish community, specifically the Orthodox community, would rather not confront is that Maryland does not have an open primary. Unlike states where any registered voter can participate in either party’s primary regardless of registration, Maryland restricts primary voting to registered party members. In a city and county where the Democratic primary is, for nearly every meaningful local office, the only election that matters, Republicans often don’t even field candidates. In this environment, registering as anything other than a Democrat means forfeiting any say in who actually governs.

This is true even though, as many in the Orthodox community will readily acknowledge, their values and policy instincts often align more naturally with conservative positions than with the progressive wing now ascendant in the party. That tension is real. But it is beside the point. The Vaad HaRabbonim and others in rabbinic leadership engaged on this exact question this cycle. Rabbi Ariel Sadwin of Agudath Israel’s Mid-Atlantic region worked with the Vaad HaRabbanim of Baltimore to launch a “shul captain” system, assigning captains in congregations to drive voter registration and primary turnout. That effort reflected a correct read of the structural reality, which is that, if you are not registered as a Democrat in Baltimore, you do not have a vote that counts in the elections that actually determine who holds power over your schools, your streets, your safety, and your community’s interests in Annapolis, on the City Council, and on the County Council.

The math bears this out. The Attar-Ruff margin was about 3,700 votes. A regional Orthodox population estimated at 20,000 to 30,000 people, concentrated heavily in the Park Heights, Cheswolde, and Pikesville corridor that overlaps significantly with District 41, had more than enough latent voting power to have closed that gap many times over, if even a few thousand more eligible voters had been registered as Democrats and had shown up. They didn’t. And now the seat is gone, and this community will not only have no representation in the Maryland State Senate but will be represented by someone whose campaign was surrounded by those openly hostile to the Jewish state and to Jewish communal life itself.

What Happens Now: A Leadership Vacuum

The deeper problem is not just this election. It’s what comes after it. For nearly a decade, two figures have done the on-the-ground work of representing Orthodox interests in Baltimore’s halls of power: specifically, Dalya Attar in Annapolis and City Councilman Isaac “Yitzy” Schleifer in Baltimore City Hall, where he has represented District 5 since 2016. Attar is now out of office. Schleifer, meanwhile, is approaching the end of what the city’s voter-approved term-limits law allows. Baltimore voters capped City Council members at two terms back in 2022, and Schleifer’s tenure means he is on a clock that will eventually run out.

When that clock runs out, who replaces them? Right now, there is no clear answer. No obvious successor has been cultivated, no bench of younger Orthodox candidates has been built, no pipeline exists to ensure that when these two seats turn over, they turn over to people who understand and will fight for the community’s interests. There is quite literally no political infrastructure in this community to build winning candidates. This is not a hypothetical problem for some future election cycle. It is the problem facing Baltimore’s Orthodox community today, with the most visible of those two seats already lost.

Worse, the community isn’t simply facing an absence of representation. As mentioned earlier, it’s facing the prospect of representation that is actively hostile. The Ruff-Attar race, by multiple independent accounts, surfaced rhetoric that crossed from policy disagreement into something else. Even the Baltimore Jewish Council’s leadership was troubled by what he called antisemitic rhetoric from some Ruff supporters, drawing a distinction between legitimate debate over district priorities and language suggesting “we can’t let the Jews control this district,” rhetoric which they said crosses the line into antisemitism. A Ruff-aligned policy group described the race in stark ideological terms, framing it as a clash between Black self-determination and what it called “Zionist political forces.” None of this means that every elected official who emerges from this political environment will be hostile to the Orthodox community specifically. But it does mean that the community can no longer assume good faith or sympathetic representation by default. That assumption, reasonable for much of the last decade, no longer holds.

In Baltimore County, Julian Jones, a candidate who called Israel’s defensive war in Gaza a “genocide, immoral and unjust,” who committed to ending Baltimore County’s institutional and financial support for the Maryland Israel Development Center, and who stated firmly that he would not agree to any training programs involving the Israeli Defense Forces for Baltimore County police, saying “I don’t see any reason for us to receive any training from the Israeli Defense Forces,” won the Democratic primary and is expected to easily become the next Baltimore County Executive after the general election in November.

Let’s Paint the Picture

We need to be realistic and honest about what happens to the Jewish community of Baltimore if this goes unanswered politically, because abstractions don’t move people and vague warnings don’t either.

Picture a Baltimore and a Maryland where the elected officials who hold power over your city council, your state delegation, your school board appointments, and your zoning decisions are people who share the worldview expressed above, i.e., that Zionism itself is an illegitimate ideology, that Jewish institutional life is something to be treated with suspicion rather than support, and that even asking a candidate to condemn an attack that murdered 1,200 people is met with refusal. That is not hypothetical anymore in parts of this country. It is a sitting reality in Congress as of this June.

In that world, here is what it can plausibly look like, locally, for us in Pikesville: Jewish communal organizations and institutions become quietly radioactive for any kind of public funding or partnership the moment they can be construed as supportive of Israel in any way. A shul that expresses solidarity with Israel after an attack, a day school that runs a Yom Ha’atzmaut program, a community organization that takes a trip to Israel or hosts a speaker who supports the Jewish state – any of these becomes a liability rather than a neutral fact of communal life, something that can be cited to justify excluding that Jewish institution from grants, partnerships, or goodwill from the people who hold the levers of local government. This isn’t really an attack on the State of Israel at that point. Israel is, for almost the entire Jewish community, inseparable from Jewish identity and peoplehood, which is exactly why a movement that treats support for Israel as disqualifying is not actually drawing a line around foreign policy. It is drawing a line around Jews.

If this sounds like hyperbole, look at how fast the rhetoric has moved – not over decades but over the past two or three years. Look at how many politicians who would have proudly stood at a pro-Israel rally a decade ago now visibly avoid the subject, hedge their language, or quietly distance themselves from past statements of support. Look at a sitting member of Congress who, by her own account to a left-leaning club’s endorsement committee, refused even the minimal act of condemning Hamas. That shift did not happen by accident, and there is no particular reason to believe it stops at the New York City line or that Baltimore is somehow immune to the same currents that just swept through the Bronx, Manhattan, Brooklyn, and Denver.

The Real Fix Isn’t Just Turnout. It’s People

Better turnout in this past primary might well have saved Dalya Attar’s seat. But turnout alone is not a durable strategy. Turnout is what you do with a candidate already on the ballot. The harder, more urgent task now ahead of us, and the one Baltimore’s Orthodox community has badly under-invested in, is building the next generation of candidates and political operatives from inside the community itself, years before they’re needed, not in the panicked weeks before a filing deadline.

Right now, that pipeline barely exists. There is no clear answer to who runs for Councilman Schleifer’s City Council seat when his term-limited clock runs out. We have no real representation in Annapolis, at the state-level, to speak of. There is no bench of younger Orthodox lawyers, organizers, and public servants who have spent the last several years building relationships in Annapolis, City Hall, and the County Council, waiting for their moment. There is no functioning campaign infrastructure, donor networks, volunteer corps, message discipline, opposition research, comparable to what groups like NYC-DSA have spent a decade building from the ground up, specifically so they would be ready when their moment came. They were ready. Baltimore’s Orthodox community, this cycle, was not. And, we are handing an open lane to the DSA and other antisemitic organizations to control our community at a political level. Why do you think virtually every rabbi in the community spoke about the importance of political engagement in the Shabbosos before the election?

That has to change, starting now, not after the next loss. It means identifying young people in the community with the talent and temperament for public service and actively encouraging them toward it, the way other communities have long treated political careers as a legitimate and honored path rather than an afterthought. It means building real campaign infrastructure like fundraising networks, volunteer organizations, a farm system of school board seats, Central Committee positions, and other lower-profile offices that train people for bigger roles later. It means partnering, where interests align, with other communities who are watching the same currents with the same alarm, rather than going it alone. And it means treating voter registration and turnout not as a once-every-few-years emergency response but as permanent, year-round communal infrastructure, the way the “shul captain” system this cycle began to do. The problem for this election cycle was that the efforts were years too late and at far too small a scale to change this particular outcome.

What’s Actually at Stake, Beyond the Hypothetical

It’s worth being concrete about what losing political representation means, because “advocacy” can sound abstract until you trace how it affects a community.

First, it creates safety. A state senator or city councilman or any other political representative with real relationships in Annapolis and City Hall is the difference between rapid response and being an afterthought when there’s a spike in antisemitic incidents, vandalism, or harassment near synagogues and schools. And Baltimore, like the rest of the country, has seen that risk rise, not fall. It assists with school funding, state and city dollars for nonpublic school transportation, security grants, and other support that flows through political channels and depends on someone in the room fighting for them. It creates responsiveness on zoning, on policing priorities in Jewish neighborhoods, on state grants for community institutions, and on a hundred quieter administrative decisions that never make headlines but shape daily life. And it provides a seat at the table when state and local government decide how to respond to antisemitism itself, whether incidents get treated as a priority or get lost in the shuffle of a hundred other constituencies competing for attention.

Without that representation, the existence of our whole community becomes harder, slower, more uncertain, and contingent on the goodwill of officials who owe the community nothing, rather than the advocacy of officials who answer to it directly. This is especially true now more than ever when the Jewish people’s place in American society is being questioned by some of the highest governmental officials.

The Clock Is Not Quite Out, But It’s Close

Off-year and municipal elections are coming. Councilman Schleifer’s seat will eventually open, and there is still time – barely – to identify and cultivate the next generation of candidates rather than discovering in election season that no one is ready to run. There is still time to fix the turnout problem that cost Attar and Patoka their seats. Registration drives do not need to wait for the next contested primary to begin.

But time is not unlimited, and the trend lines, locally and nationally, are not moving in the community’s favor. Without mincing words, our community is in real trouble. What happened in District 41 was not a fluke. The battlefield has shifted, and the community has not yet shifted with it, and that gap, left unfilled, will cost far more than a single senate or county or city council seat. The DSA and those who despise the Jewish community and Israel figured this out. The question is whether this community does, too, before it’s too late to matter. The work that will determine this community’s future must happen in political organizations, precinct captain lists, voter rolls, and voter registration drives, and right now, the other side is doing that work, and the Orthodox community largely is not. The window is barely open, but it will not stay that way, and history has never been kind to communities that waited until the threat was undeniable before deciding to fight back.

This community has the numbers. It has, by reputation, some of the highest civic engagement instincts of any group in the country. What it lacked this cycle was the organized follow-through to turn that potential into outcomes; it lacked a bench of trained, committed people ready to run when the moment came. Our community has a last chance to change this trajectory by registering to vote where it actually counts, by showing up to vote when it counts, and by raising the next generation of people willing to fight for it through political clubs and organizations – because there is no cavalry coming from outside to save us. There never was. There is only this community we have, this moment, and the choice of whether to meet it or surrender to it.

 

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